Loan markets have largely been unaffected by volatility in capital markets in the early parts of 2019, delegates at the conference were told, as that market generally lags behind the bond market by three to six months.
Banks have been slow to pass on the additional cost in their wholesale funding costs due to the increased competition from foreign lenders and the rise of institutional debt providers.
“Except for property lending, we haven’t seen material pull back by the domestic banks who themselves account for around 40 per cent of the market,” Daniel Bergamin, Executive Director, Loan Syndications at ANZ said at the conference.
“Also [the market is more competitive with] the rise of non-bank lenders and foreign bank participation.”
The US private placement (PP) market was also little affected by choppy conditions in 2018 due to the inherent nature of investors - mainly life insurers and pension funds - that buy and hold the debt.
“The US PP market was the star performer last year,” Sameer Kishore, Executive Director at JP Morgan Securities in New York said.
Asian investors, recovering from a difficult year in 2018 due to the credit conditions globally, are now demanding longer tenors as market conditions stabilise, according to Owen Gallimore, Head of Credit Research at ANZ in Singapore.
“This year much more conversations were around five and seven years,” he said. “It is early days... but we are seeing an uptick in the share of duration issuance.”
In 2018, 10-year issuance dropped below 10 per cent of total dollar Asia-ex Japan/Australia bond issue, Gallimore said. In 2019 that figure has bounced towards 15 per cent.
Sharon Klyne is Associate Director, Institutional Communications at ANZ